FED: Uneven Recovery

The latest edition of the Federal Reserve's Beige Book depicts only intermittent, patchy spots of continued economic growth, with residential real estate markets across the country characterized as "sluggish," and commercial real estate conditions garnering a descriptor of "weak."

Beige Book findings are based on anecdotal information collected across the country from businesses and contacts outside the Federal Reserve.

Since the central bank's previous survey snapshot in early June, eight of the 12 regional Fed districts reported that economic activity has continued to increase, although most characterized the improvement as "modest."

Cleveland and Kansas City reported that the level of economic activity in their districts "held steady," while Atlanta and Chicago said the pace of economic activity "had slowed recently." The overall assessment is considerably more downbeat than the results seen in the June survey, when all 12 districts cited improvements in economic growth. But the latest conclusions support Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke's recent position that while economic recovery is still progressing, it has slowed considerably from earlier in the year.

Nearly all districts reported sluggish housing markets in the months since the homebuyer tax credit expired on April 30. While some districts, such as Boston and St. Louis, reported an increase in May and June home sales on a year-over-year basis, contacts there noted that these sales likely reflect closings of homes under contract by the April tax credit deadline. The Boston, Philadelphia, Atlanta, and Kansas City districts all reported that they expect home sales to weaken going forward.

Source: DSNEWS.com, Carrie Bay, (07/28/2010)
Reprint: REAL Trends Email Update # 1226

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